Old Mossy Horns
Troubling trends in the models the Euro just ran a Cat 3 scraping the OBX, not what they need, and worse there is a storm trailing that one by just 3 days that could threaten NC as well......gotta hope this trend is wrong....
Yeah and we are talking a week away so plenty of time for things to change.....and right now it looks like its just mainly a threat to the OBX, though that could change....and probably will though its inside 7 days and folks out their especially on Ocracoke do not need this at all.Not what I want to read!!
So it was a basic advisory and not as a developed storm yet. They call it PTC instead of a TD. This was so they could issue warnings for the hard hit areas of the Bahamas.Appreciate you keeping us informed but not happy with the info
What will Florida’s, specifically Tampa, from this as of now? I’m supposed to make a run down there Monday but I have no intention of playing with a big storm while down thereModels shifted well east on the 00Z runs, they miss the US ( well after flirting with Florida as a weak system ) and go far enough east to actually threaten Bermuda....I do tend to be more wary of big sudden changes so lets see if this new trend holds.....
The only models that flirt with anything in Tampa are all weak and it would just be a breezy rainy day. Almost all models are coming in stronger and off the east coast of Florida. By Sunday the cone will not include Tampa IMO as long as the east shifts continue to hold.What will Florida’s, specifically Tampa, from this as of now? I’m supposed to make a run down there Monday but I have no intention of playing with a big storm while down there
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yeah all the guidance had Florence going EAST of Bermuda in the early stages, and well she didn't end there did she lol.....overall the setup the models currently have with the upper level steering currents make a US landfall extremely unlikely, but we are talking 7-10 days out so there will be some changes much to early to tell.....I would say at this point I am cautiously optimistic that we wont have a hurricane a few weeks before deer rifle opener lol....in fact this prolonged dry spell is perfect, will limit water options and dry up the ditches IE no skeeters......lets go with "all guidance"